A high adviser to the president of the Central African Republic stated on Friday that Yevgeny V. Prigozhin, the chief of the Wagner paramilitary group, had visited the nation days earlier than the airplane he was believed to be touring on crashed in Russia.
“He got here right here to provoke his troops after which went elsewhere in Africa,” stated Fidèle Gouandjika, the adviser to President Faustin-Archange Touadéra, who in recent times has welcomed Wagner mercenaries to combat insurgent teams in change for mining concessions.
Mr. Prigozhin’s presumed demise might have profound penalties for African consumer states and warlords who, within the span of some years, helped flip a mercenary enterprise into certainly one of Russia’s strongest and recognizable belongings on the continent.
In nations such because the Central African Republic and Mali, Wagner operatives have supplied safety to autocratic leaders searching for to remain in energy, in addition to troopers to assist underequipped nationwide armies combat rebels and extremist teams. In others, together with Libya and Sudan, they’ve equipped warlords with weapons and coaching to mount challenges to fragile governments.
In return, Wagner’s African shoppers equipped it with money, together with gold and diamond mining concessions. And Wagner’s 1000’s of mercenaries and dozens of shell corporations had been additionally concerned in different industries, together with timber, beer and vodka, logistics and leisure.
The way forward for this enterprise empire now seems unsure, with its most recognizable determine believed to be dead.
“He was a gifted particular person, a gifted businessman. He labored not solely right here in our nation, and obtained outcomes, but in addition overseas, particularly in Africa,” President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia stated on Thursday about Mr. Prigozhin. “There he was engaged with oil, gasoline, treasured metals and stones. Simply yesterday, so far as I perceive, he returned from Africa and met right here with a couple of officers.”
The final recognized photos of Mr. Prigozhin, in a video he launched earlier this week, seem to have been shot someplace in Africa. Many analysts recommended it was in Mali, the place round 1,500 Wagner mercenaries have been deployed.
In an indication of the aura the group has cultivated on the continent, Russian flags have appeared at protests in some West and Central African cities in recent times, together with the emblem of the Wagner group and posters of Mr. Prigozhin. Its prominence has grown at the same time as its mercenaries have been accused of widespread human rights abuses together with executions, rape and torture.
Since Mr. Prigozhin led a short-lived mutiny two months in the past towards the Russian army management, the Kremlin has tried to assure African clients that it was in management. However analysts recommended that the absence of Mr. Prigozhin might throw the group’s future into jeopardy.
“He has this star character, this mythic enchantment in lots of components of Africa, which makes it look like it’s going to be tough for Russia to switch him,” stated Cameron Hudson, a former C.I.A. analyst who’s now an Africa specialist on the Middle for Strategic and Worldwide Research in Washington. “He had developed his separate entity very completely different from Putin and Russia’s Ministry of Protection.”
Mr. Gouandjika, the Central African presidential adviser, referred to as Mr. Prigozhin a nationwide hero who had saved the nation. He posed wearing a Wagner T-shirt this week in a tribute to the group’s chief and stated in a phone interview on Friday that he was grieving — however the partnership with Russia would proceed.
“There shall be one other Prigozhin,” he stated. “We’re awaiting the following one.”